The 17th of May, Tuesday, is expected to be one of the most important primary days of the 2022
cycle to date.
Five states which include Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon are set to
conduct the primaries to determine Senate seats, governor’s chairs and House districts These
could provide more information about which direction the parties are heading in.
Here are a few of the themes we’re currently watching.
Trump’s influence is facing some of its most difficult tests to date
Another week of primary elections, another test of Trump’s popularity among GOP voters.
So far, the majority of his endorsements have been effective, with the exception of his choice as
Nebraska governor and an entrepreneur Charles Herbster. The race on Tuesday is filled with
celebrities as well as far-right leaders and a stricken member of Congress — will offer fresh
evidence on how Trump’s support can aid candidates in overcoming difficult competition as well
as their own weak points.
In Pennsylvania’s GOP Senate primary election, Trump is a supporter of Mehmet Oz. Oz is a
famous doctor who’s faced criticism in the past for selling false and untested medical
procedures. Oz has noticed a rise in polls following Trump’s endorsement, however, his victory
isn’t certain. The businessman David McCormick, as well as conservative political commentator
Kathy Barnette, have been running just to Oz in recent polls and some Republicans doubt
whether Oz is a conservative enough candidate.
And, in the North Carolina GOP Senate primary, Trump is supporting Rep. Ted Budd, who
currently has an impressive lead in polls. Budd is the House Republican who has voted against
the legitimacy of the results from the 2020 election and is competing against the former
Governor. Pat McCrory and former Rep. Mark Walker, are both conservatives. The difference is
that Trump is known to have criticized McCrory for his loss in statewide elections in the past and
also encouraged Walker to think about being a candidate for House in the future.
Trump is involved in GOP governorship primaries within two states well. In Idaho’s primary,
Trump is supporting Lieutenant. Gov. Janice McGeachin — who is a supporter of a more severe
abortion ban than states are currently looking at along with other extreme right-wing views — is a
threat to the incumbent governor. Brad Little. In Pennsylvania, Trump issued a last-minute
endorsement of a state senator. Doug Mastriano was a lawmaker who was not in the Capitol on
January 6 during the uprising. Mastriano is battling several other conservative candidates that
include ex- Rep. Lou Barletta as well as Businessman David White.
All of these contests — as well as a variety of other races, such as in the 13th Congressional
District, where Trump is backing former college football player Bo Hines in a crowded field. It will
be a sign of how much influence the former president holds over voters.
Establishment Republicans are concerned about the rise of more radical
This season, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell earlier this year, Senate Minority Leader
Mitch McConnell warned Republicans that poor selection of candidates could pose a major
hurdle in Senate races, despite the favorable political conditions the party is in.
“In the Senate, if you look at where we have to compete in order to get into a majority, there are
places that are competitive in the general election,” McConnell stated at the Kentucky occasion.
“So it’s not possible to nominate someone who is just unacceptable to a larger crowd and still
get elected. It happened to us in 2012 and 2010.”
In essence, McConnell stated that Republicans cannot nominate candidates so extreme that
they aren’t successful in winning an election on a broad basis. This week the Pennsylvania
governorship and Senate primary elections have forced Republicans to tackle this issue
In both races, those who have been criticized are likely to win. In the race for governor,
Mastriano, a state lawmaker who was subpoenaed by Congress’s Committee on January 6 and has a lead over the other candidates. In the Senate race, Barnette, a commentator who has
posted Islamophobic comments is doing well along with other candidates like Oz or McCormick.
Contesting the results of the 2020 elections and supporting xenophobic and racist opinions has
become commonplace in some segments of the Republican Party, with more than 100
far-right-leaning candidates in the race this year. However, it’s not certain that independents or
the moderate Republicans who vote reliably in general elections would be willing to support the
kind of candidates.
In light of this, establishment Republicans are concerned that Mastriano, as well as Barnette,
could hurt the likelihood of the party winning these seats during the general election, given that
Pennsylvania is still a fairly purple state.
“Winning the primary and losing the general because the candidate is unable to get the voters in
the middle isn’t a win,” Pennsylvania’s state Senate Republican leader Kim Ward wrote in a
Facebook post on Mastriano.
Similar dynamics are evident in the coming Michigan Secretary of State and Arizona Republican
Senate races. However, in the reality of North Carolina, GOP fractures are displayed in a
different fashion when state legislators attempt to get rid of gaffe-prone Rep. Madison Cawthorn
in the 11th Congressional District. Cawthorn has been fined twice for having attempted to carry
a gun on the plane and was also slapped with allegations of trading insiders and has been
punished by party leaders for his comments on the sexism of Congress, is now facing an uphill
battle from fellow Republicans. One of the senators from North Carolina, Thom Tillis, is among
those who have backed Cawthorn’s rival senator from the state. Chuck Edwards. Trump has
stood with Cawthorn however, and said that he is deserving of a “second chance.”
In the end, these races may determine which of the Republican Party primary voters are more
closely aligned with and provide some insight into the chances of the party winning seats at both
the federal and state levels.
Contests heated between various factions of the Democratic party
For Democrats Progressive concepts and candidates for progressive are in the race once more
following wins in the first and losses to the latter in this year’s Ohio as well as Indiana primary
elections. This signifies that Democratic primaries voters once again be able to send an
indication of the kind of party they’d like to be part of. The voters on Tuesday will be faced with a
choice between moderate and progressive ideas.
In Oregon it is the Democratic Governor’s primary is an open race. Tina Kotek, the progressive
former speaker of the statehouse typically viewed as having a slight lead against a conservative
opponent, Oregon Treasurer Tobias Read. The majority of Democrats aren’t sure about the
race, as per the polling conducted by the Read team.
Within the State’s Fifth Congressional District, incumbent Rep. Kurt Schrader, who is a member
of the centrist Problem Solvers Caucus in Congress is facing opposition from an extreme left
Jamie McLeod-Skinner is a former congressman and small business owner highlights in her
advertisements that the votes of Schrader against crucial climate policies of the progressives in
the unsuccessful Build Back Better bill.
Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman has been trouncing his Senate Democratic primary
opponents for months, partly through his advocacy for progressive causes and not taking on
any “progressive” label. On the House side, all eyes are on the state Rep. Summer Lee who is a
Progressive young star. Lee won the statehouse race with the help of local social-democratic
activists in 2018. She is currently running for an uncontested seat that is vacant in the 12th
Congressional District and (if she wins will be considered an upcoming one of those progressive
lawmakers called the Squad.
In the state’s First Congressional District, voters are faced with a fairly straightforward option:
moderate state senator. Don Davis, who was endorsed by retired Rep. GK Butterfield, against
an ex-state senator who was progressive, Erica Smith.
In the state’s heavily Democratic Fourth District that includes Durham as well as Chapel Hill,
there’s a historic and expensive primary battle between two strong progressives: the likely
frontrunner state senator. Valerie Foushee, and her primary opponent, Durham County
Commissioner Nida Allam. The main issue they have is the relationship between the United
States and Israel. Allam has been vocal about his concerns with the relationship which has led
to significant PAC backing for Foushee which makes this a close race with a budget of $3